Countdown to Destiny: Who Will Rule Malawi After September 16

By Suleman Chitera: Political Correspondent

As the sun rises over Malawi this election season, one thing is clear — September 16 won’t just be another date on the calendar. It’s a fork in the road for 20 million Malawians, a nation grappling with poverty, promise, and politics. The presidential race is packed with giants, comeback hopefuls, and change-makers — all eyeing the keys to Kamuzu Palace.

🏛️ The Battle Lines Are Drawn

This is no ordinary race. It’s a rematch of history, a fight for legacy, and a test of Malawi’s democracy. The key presidential contenders have hit the campaign trail with fire in their bellies and manifestos in hand.

🇲🇼 Lazarus Chakwera: The Incumbent Preacher-Turned-President

After five years in power, Dr. Lazarus Chakwera of the Malawi Congress Party (MCP) wants a second term. Once hailed as the symbol of the “Tonse Alliance,” his presidency has delivered mixed results.

🗣️ “We have laid the foundation; now let us build the house,” Chakwera declared recently in Lilongwe.

Strengths:

  • Backed by the MCP grassroots and Tonse remnants.
  • Promotes stability and continuity.
  • Has made strides in infrastructure and education access.

Weaknesses:

  • Accused of economic mismanagement.
  • Soaring inflation, fuel shortages, and public frustration haunt his campaign.
  • Lost popularity after breaking ranks with key allies like UTM.

🐘 Peter Mutharika: The Comeback Commander

Back from political slumber, Arthur Peter Mutharika is on a mission to reclaim what he calls “stolen leadership.” The DPP strongman says he’s the only one who can rescue Malawi from what he calls “the Chakwera chaos.”

🗣️ “Malawi was better under DPP. We will fix the mess, again.”

Strengths:

  • Nostalgic support, especially in the South.
  • Seen by many as stronger on the economy and governance.
  • Backed by a re-energized DPP.

Weaknesses:

  • Age and health concerns linger.
  • Accusations of authoritarian tendencies during his rule.
  • Needs to energize youth and undecided urban voters.

🌸 Joyce Banda: The Iron Lady Returns

She made history as Malawi’s first female president — now, Joyce Banda of the People’s Party is back. With a bold campaign targeting the youth and rural poor, she promises “a leadership that listens.”

🗣️ “Let’s give Malawi back to the people — women, youth, and farmers.”

Strengths:

  • Strong gender and rural empowerment message.
  • Offers fresh (but familiar) face amid MCP–DPP dominance.
  • Promotes social programs: free secondary education, mobile health, youth jobs.

Weaknesses:

  • Past leadership questioned for corruption and weak delivery.
  • May struggle to build a national coalition without strategic alliances.

⚖️ The Deciders: Youth, Coalitions, and the “50+1” Factor

With over 60% of voters under 35, the youth vote is king. Social media is ablaze with influencers endorsing candidates, fact-checking manifestos, and challenging tribal narratives.

Malawi’s 50%+1 rule means a second round is likely unless one candidate dominates — and coalitions will be key. Smaller parties like UTM, UDF, and AFORD could become kingmakers.

🚨 Risks & Realities: Tension Behind the Scenes

Behind the banners and promises lies a fragile reality:

  • Misinformation is spreading fast.
  • Electoral violence looms, especially in political hotspots.
  • Observers from SADC, EU, and AU are on the ground, watching every step.

The Malawi Electoral Commission (MEC) has urged parties to respect the law, the peace, and the process — but history warns us that anything can happen when stakes are this high.

🎯 Final Word: Who Will Win?

It’s anyone’s game.

  • If Chakwera can convince Malawians he needs more time, he might edge through — but only just.
  • If Mutharika can ignite the DPP base and unite the opposition, the palace gates might swing open for his return.
  • If Banda rides a wave of female and youth support, she could upend the script entirely.

One thing is certain: Malawi’s 2025 presidential race is a test of democracy, memory, and momentum.

📍Mark your calendar: September 16. One vote. One future. One Malawi.

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