By Burnett Munthali
The latest Afrobarometer survey reveals that if elections had been held in August 2024, Malawians would have overwhelmingly voted the Malawi Congress Party (MCP) out of power. Even more telling, the survey indicates that the majority would have reinstated the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) under the leadership of Professor Arthur Peter Mutharika, signaling a shift in public sentiment and a potential return to the political status quo of the pre-2020 era.
The MCP, which rose to power in 2020 under the Tonse Alliance, has faced significant backlash from the public over its perceived failure to deliver on its promises. Campaign pledges of creating one million jobs, improving the economy, and tackling corruption have remained largely unfulfilled, leaving Malawians disillusioned and frustrated.
Key issues driving this dissatisfaction include:
High inflation, a depreciating kwacha, and rising costs of living have eroded public trust in the MCP government.
Scandals involving high-ranking officials have further damaged the party’s credibility.
President Lazarus Chakwera has been criticized for lacking decisive leadership in addressing national crises.
The survey underscores that many Malawians see the MCP as a party unable to deliver tangible benefits to citizens, resulting in widespread calls for change.
In a surprising twist, the survey shows a resurgence of support for the DPP, led by former President Professor Arthur Peter Mutharika.
This renewed support can be attributed to:
Firstly, during Mutharika’s Tenure: Many recall the relative economic stability and infrastructure development projects initiated during Mutharika’s presidency.
Secondly, the failure of the MCP-led coalition has made the DPP an attractive alternative, with voters yearning for a return to perceived competence.
Thirdly, Mutharika is seen as a seasoned leader with the capacity to steer the country out of its current challenges.
The survey indicates that Malawians are pragmatic in their political choices. While the DPP had its share of challenges, its past governance is now being viewed in a more positive light compared to the struggles of the current administration.
Notably, support for Mutharika appears strongest among rural populations, who often bear the brunt of economic hardships and are looking for immediate solutions.
For the MCP: The party must urgently address its governance failures and reconnect with voters by delivering on its promises. Without tangible results, the public’s trust will continue to erode, jeopardizing its chances in the 2025 general elections.
For the DPP: While the survey highlights growing support, the party must rebuild its internal structures, maintain unity, and present a unified front. Additionally, it needs to craft a compelling narrative to win back urban voters and younger demographics who may remain skeptical of its past governance.
The Afrobarometer survey is a wake-up call for the MCP. Public sentiment is shifting, and unless the ruling party makes significant changes, it risks facing a decisive defeat in the next elections. For the DPP, the findings present an opportunity to regain power, but only if they can demonstrate readiness to govern inclusively and effectively.
The survey reveals a political landscape marked by frustration, nostalgia, and a desire for change. As Malawians prepare for the 2025 elections, both the MCP and DPP must reflect on their roles in shaping the nation’s future.
For now, one thing is clear: Malawians are demanding better governance, and they are ready to hold their leaders accountable at the ballot box.
